Signal, consensus, and price
Signal: a real tracked bet recorded with its market, side, price, amount, and time.
Consensus: multiple tracked wallets arriving on the same side of a market.
Price: the cost of the position and the market's implied probability.
Return and Edge Rating
Return on volume: profit measured against total money wagered.
Edge Rating: an adjusted measure of whether a trader's results look repeatable after accounting for price, risk, and sample size.
Confirmed edge: a result strong enough to remain unlikely to be luck after accounting for all wallets tested.
Market states and receipts
Pre-game: the event has not started. Live: play is underway and the market may have moved. Finished: the result is known. Unknown: the source data is not clear enough for us to guess.
Receipt: the stored, auditable record of how a tracked buy finished.