Live from Polymarket's sports leaderboard
We track where proven bettors put real money on Polymarket, we record the price they paid, and we publish how every bet finished. The price does more work than the pick, and we have the receipts to show it.
No account needed.
We ran 2,500 settled consensus bets two different ways. Flat $100 every time, then sized according to the price. Both runs used the same traders, the same games, and the same picks.
Flat $100 every time
-5.7%
Sized by price
+2.8%
Both price bands at or above 60 cents made money, and both below it lost. Longshots feel good and pay badly.
Every card is a real bet, placed with real money, recorded at the price they paid.
Phan Thiet 3
Starts: Thu, Sep 10, 12:45 AM ET
Tracked stake
Bought Koki Matsuda at 33¢
Recent wallet behavior
This sharp's usual ticket is $109.63. This one is 2.930499069597738x bigger.
M15 Hurghada
Starts: Thu, Sep 10, 2:00 AM ET
Tracked stake
Bought Lorenzo Lorusso at 75¢
Recent wallet behavior
This sharp's usual ticket is $47.30. This one is 2.8245109725158564x bigger.
Starts: Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET (Fri, Sep 11, 12:35 AM UTC)
Tracked stake
Bought Rams at 64¢
The sharps win 60.1% of the time. About half their bets still land in price bands that lost money historically. Telling those apart is the whole game.
Free includes 3 full signals plus up to 5 locked previews. Pro opens all 25 open moves.
Compare plans57,347 settled bets sit on the record, including every one that lost. Most services quietly delete those. Publishing both is the only way you can check whether any of this works.
$120/year
$10/month equivalent. Save $60 vs monthly.
Pro opens all 25 current open moves. It also includes all 100 tracked wallets, Pro filters, and the complete leaderboard.
Prefer flexibility? Monthly is $15/month.
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One email every morning with the bets we tracked, the price they paid, and whether each one won or lost. We publish the losses too.
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