Sharps.money
#76

vanjie

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0xc1da...fefa

Sports PNL
$1.5M
Sports volume
$7.8M
Markets traded
41
Biggest single win
$373.5k
Edge Rating

Edge Rating is not published

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.

Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 61 tickets. The source covers Jun 22, 2026 to Jun 28, 2026.

Cache age: 2 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=61
Under 30c10% of tickets · 1% of stake
30 to 50c44% of tickets · 52% of stake
50 to 70c46% of tickets · 48% of stake
70c and above0% of tickets · 0% of stake

Sport mix

n=0

This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.

Favorite versus underdog

n=61

46% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=61
Median ticket
$35.0k
25th to 75th
$4.1k to $58.0k
Sized up
25%
90th percentile
Needs 100

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 20 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Jun 20, 2026 through Jun 30, 2026 · Complete within this span

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$356¢Jun 28, 2:32 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$156¢Jun 28, 2:31 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$656¢Jun 28, 2:28 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$656¢Jun 28, 2:24 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$156¢Jun 28, 2:23 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$12756¢Jun 28, 2:23 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$156¢Jun 28, 2:23 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$156¢Jun 28, 2:22 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$25556¢Jun 28, 2:20 PM UTC
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?NoBUY$2556¢Jun 28, 2:19 PM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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