#80

thesingularityisnear

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0x3a6a...458e

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Sports PNL

$1.4M

Sports volume

$27.2M

Markets traded

Biggest single win

$1.7M

Edge Rating

Edge Rating is not published

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.

Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.

Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 46 tickets. The source covers Jun 30, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026.

Cache age: 2 hours

2,510 fills fetched

Entry price bands

n=46

Small sample

Under 30c87% of tickets · 67% of stake

30 to 50c4% of tickets · 9% of stake

50 to 70c4% of tickets · 15% of stake

70c and above4% of tickets · 9% of stake

Sport mix

n=0

This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.

Favorite versus underdog

n=46

This contract-price lean needs 50 tickets before it gets a headline.

Ticket sizing

n=46

Small sample

Median ticket

$12.6k

25th to 75th

Needs 50

Sized up

Needs 50

90th percentile

Needs 100

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 6 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Jun 30, 2026 through Jul 20, 2026 · Complete within this span

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket

Market	Outcome	Side	Fill notional	Price	Filled at
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$306.6k	58¢	Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$152	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$46	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$59	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$127	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$1.9k	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$100	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$43	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$2	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	$166	59¢	Jul 19, 6:29 PM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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