Entry price bands
n=83Under 30c29% of tickets · 3% of stake
30 to 50c8% of tickets · 11% of stake
50 to 70c16% of tickets · 19% of stake
70c and above47% of tickets · 67% of stake
#91
surfandturf
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x9f2f...2ca8
Sports PNL
$1.3M
Sports volume
$177.8M
Markets traded
548
Biggest single win
$872.5k
Edge Rating
Edge Rating is not published
n=1
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned +73.0% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating needs at least 30 valid resolved results. This wallet has n=1.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 27, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 83 tickets. The source covers Sep 13, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
Cache age: under one hour
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=75NFL28 tickets · 56% of stake
Soccer25 tickets · 33% of stake
UFC22 tickets · 5% of stake
75 classified and 8 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=8363% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=83Median ticket
$10.1k
25th to 75th
$989 to $47.7k
Sized up
39%
90th percentile
Needs 100
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Sep 12, 2026 through Sep 27, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $1 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:09 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $23 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $268 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $79 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $240 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $145 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $227 | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:08 AM UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main C | Raul Rosas Jr. | BUY | $88.5k | 59¢ | Sep 27, 2:06 AM UTC |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | Chiefs | BUY | $9.4k | 84¢ | Sep 27, 2:05 AM UTC |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | Chiefs | BUY | $18 | 84¢ | Sep 27, 1:43 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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