Sharps.money
#31

primm

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0xd38b...5029

Sports PNL
$3.3M
Sports volume
$45.1M
Markets traded
2,221
Biggest single win
$312.0k
Edge Rating
-2.4%
n=262

Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -12.3% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 1570 tickets. The source covers Sep 29, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.

Cache age: 17 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=1570
Under 30c9% of tickets · 4% of stake
30 to 50c53% of tickets · 43% of stake
50 to 70c35% of tickets · 48% of stake
70c and above3% of tickets · 6% of stake

Sport mix

n=1570
NFL1505 tickets · 98% of stake
MLB65 tickets · 2% of stake

1570 classified and 0 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=1570

38% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=1570
Median ticket
$734
25th to 75th
$57 to $3.0k
Sized up
37%
90th percentile
$5.1k

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Oct 12, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$58331¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$3131¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$3131¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$4431¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$3131¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$9331¢Oct 12, 3:45 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$6231¢Oct 12, 3:44 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$3131¢Oct 12, 3:44 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$9331¢Oct 12, 3:44 AM UTC
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 55.5OverBUY$527¢Oct 12, 3:42 AM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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