Sharps.money
#32

ndb1

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0xfea3...d227

Sports PNL
$2.9M
Sports volume
$97.2M
Markets traded
2,032
Biggest single win
$550.2k
Edge Rating
+0.5%
n=30

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned +20.0% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 454 tickets. The source covers Jul 10, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026.

Cache age: 4 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=454
Under 30c18% of tickets · 2% of stake
30 to 50c32% of tickets · 5% of stake
50 to 70c22% of tickets · 30% of stake
70c and above28% of tickets · 63% of stake

Sport mix

n=284
NFL131 tickets · 0% of stake
MLB56 tickets · 3% of stake
Tennis49 tickets · 0% of stake
Soccer21 tickets · 14% of stake
Crypto12 tickets · 1% of stake

284 classified and 170 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=454

50% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=454
Median ticket
$31
25th to 75th
$9 to $260
Sized up
41%
90th percentile
$4.1k

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Aug 14, 2026 through Aug 28, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?YesBUY$736¢Aug 28, 12:51 PM UTC
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rusYesSELL$4Aug 28, 7:16 AM UTC
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during theNoBUY$1049¢Aug 28, 2:26 AM UTC
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship SerieYesBUY$2040¢Aug 28, 1:43 AM UTC
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship SerieYesBUY$2340¢Aug 28, 1:43 AM UTC
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta BravesSELL$35571¢Aug 28, 12:46 AM UTC
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta BravesSELL$35571¢Aug 28, 12:46 AM UTC
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta BravesSELL$171¢Aug 28, 12:45 AM UTC
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta BravesSELL$1371¢Aug 28, 12:45 AM UTC
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta BravesSELL$3971¢Aug 28, 12:44 AM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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