Entry price bands
n=1232Under 30c14% of tickets · 1% of stake
30 to 50c26% of tickets · 15% of stake
50 to 70c25% of tickets · 42% of stake
70c and above35% of tickets · 43% of stake
#20
ndb1
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xfea3...d227
Sports PNL
$4.0M
Sports volume
$103.9M
Markets traded
2,839
Biggest single win
$1.1M
Edge Rating
+0.3%
n=118
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -9.4% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 1232 tickets. The source covers Aug 25, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.
Cache age: under one hour
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=1068NFL726 tickets · 52% of stake
Soccer117 tickets · 23% of stake
MLB108 tickets · 3% of stake
NHL38 tickets · 0% of stake
Politics31 tickets · 1% of stake
NBA29 tickets · 0% of stake
Tennis19 tickets · 1% of stake
1068 classified and 164 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=123261% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=1232Median ticket
$60
25th to 75th
$9 to $404
Sized up
42%
90th percentile
$3.6k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Oct 6, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | No | BUY | $12 | 81¢ | Oct 12, 9:16 PM UTC |
| Scorigami in Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | BUY | $13 | 67¢ | Oct 12, 8:17 PM UTC |
| Scorigami in Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | BUY | $13 | 67¢ | Oct 12, 8:17 PM UTC |
| Scorigami in Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season? | No | BUY | $13 | 67¢ | Oct 12, 8:17 PM UTC |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election? | Yes | BUY | $360 | 90¢ | Oct 12, 6:39 PM UTC |
| Will Real Betis reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | No | SELL | $20 | 52¢ | Oct 12, 2:48 PM UTC |
| Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | BUY | $840 | 84¢ | Oct 12, 6:16 AM UTC |
| Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | BUY | $3.0k | 83¢ | Oct 12, 6:16 AM UTC |
| Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | BUY | $1.7k | 84¢ | Oct 12, 6:16 AM UTC |
| Will Sauce Gardner finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most i | No | BUY | $815 | 94¢ | Oct 12, 6:13 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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