Entry price bands
n=69Under 30c14% of tickets · 1% of stake
30 to 50c39% of tickets · 59% of stake
50 to 70c46% of tickets · 39% of stake
70c and above0% of tickets · 0% of stake
#48
hot2trot
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xb61b...8a06
Sports PNL
$2.1M
Sports volume
$13.7M
Markets traded
59
Biggest single win
$677.5k
Edge Rating
Edge Rating is not published
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.
Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 69 tickets. The source covers Jul 2, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026.
Cache age: 3 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=0This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.
Favorite versus underdog
n=6946% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=69Median ticket
$24.0k
25th to 75th
$1.3k to $74.4k
Sized up
38%
90th percentile
Needs 100
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 40 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jun 22, 2026 through Jul 20, 2026 · Complete within this span
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $173.3k | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:14 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $29 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $13 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $356 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | BUY | $4.7k | 58¢ | Jul 19, 6:59 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $63.2k | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $4 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $7 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $64.3k | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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