Entry price bands
n=22Small sample
Under 30c41% of tickets · 3% of stake
30 to 50c14% of tickets · 21% of stake
50 to 70c45% of tickets · 77% of stake
70c and above0% of tickets · 0% of stake
#53
hot2trot
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xb61b...8a06
Sports PNL
$2.1M
Sports volume
$13.7M
Markets traded
59
Biggest single win
$677.5k
Edge Rating
Edge Rating is not published
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 22 tickets. The source covers Jul 14, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026.
Cache age: 14 hours
1,736 fills fetched
Sport mix
n=0This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.
Favorite versus underdog
n=22This contract-price lean needs 50 tickets before it gets a headline.
Ticket sizing
n=22A provisional median starts at 30 tickets, the full sizing read starts at 50, and the 90th percentile starts at 100.
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 6 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jul 14, 2026 through Jul 20, 2026 · Complete within this span
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $173.3k | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:14 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $29 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $13 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | BUY | $356 | 58¢ | Jul 19, 7:10 PM UTC |
| Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Over | BUY | $4.7k | 58¢ | Jul 19, 6:59 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $63.2k | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $4 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $7 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $64.3k | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 43¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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