Entry price bands
n=640Under 30c21% of tickets · 22% of stake
30 to 50c38% of tickets · 36% of stake
50 to 70c29% of tickets · 26% of stake
70c and above12% of tickets · 16% of stake
#32
ferrariChampions2026
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xfe78...0319
Sports PNL
$3.3M
Sports volume
$1106.2M
Markets traded
75,979
Biggest single win
$411.9k
Edge Rating
+1.5%
n=12,376
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -8.5% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 640 tickets. The source covers Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.
Cache age: 17 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=578NFL270 tickets · 69% of stake
Tennis140 tickets · 10% of stake
Soccer101 tickets · 3% of stake
MLB26 tickets · 9% of stake
NBA24 tickets · 5% of stake
NHL17 tickets · 1% of stake
578 classified and 62 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=64041% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=640Median ticket
$270
25th to 75th
$40 to $1.4k
Sized up
37%
90th percentile
$7.3k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Oct 12, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | $1.0k | 23¢ | Oct 12, 8:00 AM UTC |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | $97 | 18¢ | Oct 12, 7:59 AM UTC |
| Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) | Venezia FC | BUY | $4.5k | 61¢ | Oct 12, 7:59 AM UTC |
| M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Lorenzo Berto vs Arthur Bellegy | Arthur Bellegy | BUY | $8 | 16¢ | Oct 12, 7:58 AM UTC |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic | Maria Sakkari | BUY | $3 | 51¢ | Oct 12, 7:57 AM UTC |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic | Maria Sakkari | BUY | $37 | 51¢ | Oct 12, 7:57 AM UTC |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Donna Vekic | Donna Vekic | BUY | $988 | 48¢ | Oct 12, 7:57 AM UTC |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational | Team Vitality | BUY | $281 | 61¢ | Oct 12, 7:56 AM UTC |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | $10 | 18¢ | Oct 12, 7:55 AM UTC |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | $10 | 18¢ | Oct 12, 7:55 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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