Entry price bands
n=793Under 30c28% of tickets · 5% of stake
30 to 50c19% of tickets · 19% of stake
50 to 70c20% of tickets · 20% of stake
70c and above34% of tickets · 56% of stake
#68
curie
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xd1ed...d7cb
Sports PNL
$1.6M
Sports volume
$77.9M
Markets traded
57,218
Biggest single win
$130.8k
Edge Rating
+3.5%
n=1,996
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned +1.9% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 793 tickets. The source covers Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.
Cache age: 11 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=583Crypto331 tickets · 46% of stake
NFL165 tickets · 37% of stake
Soccer52 tickets · 8% of stake
NHL20 tickets · 1% of stake
MLB14 tickets · 2% of stake
583 classified and 210 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=79353% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=793Median ticket
$31
25th to 75th
$8 to $134
Sized up
39%
90th percentile
$349
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Oct 12, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Up | BUY | $2 | 49¢ | Oct 12, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $12 | 92¢ | Oct 12, 1:58 PM UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $6 | 94¢ | Oct 12, 1:58 PM UTC |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $10 | 90¢ | Oct 12, 1:58 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $17 | 97¢ | Oct 12, 1:57 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $5 | 97¢ | Oct 12, 1:57 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $10 | 98¢ | Oct 12, 1:57 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $24 | 96¢ | Oct 12, 1:57 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $9 | 93¢ | Oct 12, 1:56 PM UTC |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | Up | BUY | $10 | 91¢ | Oct 12, 1:56 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
Open live signals