Entry price bands
n=2429Under 30c37% of tickets · 3% of stake
30 to 50c6% of tickets · 10% of stake
50 to 70c8% of tickets · 24% of stake
70c and above49% of tickets · 62% of stake
#69
curie
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xd1ed...d7cb
Sports PNL
$1.6M
Sports volume
$66.4M
Markets traded
36,484
Biggest single win
$130.8k
Edge Rating
+4.0%
n=812
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -0.8% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 2429 tickets. The source covers Aug 26, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026.
Cache age: 2 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=354MLB181 tickets · 24% of stake
NFL73 tickets · 5% of stake
Tennis37 tickets · 8% of stake
UFC31 tickets · 3% of stake
Soccer19 tickets · 1% of stake
NBA12 tickets · 13% of stake
354 classified and 2075 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=242957% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=2429Median ticket
$12
25th to 75th
$3 to $28
Sized up
27%
90th percentile
$140
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Aug 28, 2026 through Aug 28, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28? | No | BUY | $5 | 71¢ | Aug 28, 2:28 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28? | Yes | SELL | $1 | 10¢ | Aug 28, 2:28 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 28? | Yes | BUY | $5 | 25¢ | Aug 28, 2:27 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Augu | Yes | BUY | $15 | 17¢ | Aug 28, 2:26 PM UTC |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 29? | No | BUY | $8 | 83¢ | Aug 28, 2:25 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 28 | Yes | BUY | $13 | 64¢ | Aug 28, 2:24 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 28 | Yes | BUY | $4 | 12¢ | Aug 28, 2:22 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 28? | Yes | SELL | $2 | 8¢ | Aug 28, 2:17 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28? | Yes | SELL | $2 | 10¢ | Aug 28, 2:17 PM UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 29? | Yes | BUY | $2 | 3¢ | Aug 28, 2:16 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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