Entry price bands
n=44Small sample
Under 30c34% of tickets · 12% of stake
30 to 50c36% of tickets · 42% of stake
50 to 70c23% of tickets · 33% of stake
70c and above7% of tickets · 13% of stake
#98
bettguy
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x50f0...5355
Sports PNL
$1.2M
Sports volume
$8.4M
Markets traded
42
Biggest single win
$336.8k
Edge Rating
Edge Rating is not published
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.
Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 44 tickets. The source covers Jun 24, 2026 to Jul 19, 2026.
Cache age: 1 hours
4,138 fills fetched
Sport mix
n=2This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.
Favorite versus underdog
n=44This contract-price lean needs 50 tickets before it gets a headline.
Ticket sizing
n=44Small sample
Median ticket
$43.8k
25th to 75th
Needs 50
Sized up
Needs 50
90th percentile
Needs 100
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 42 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jun 24, 2026 through Jul 19, 2026 · Complete within this span
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | No | BUY | $1.2k | 99¢ | Jul 19, 8:09 PM UTC |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | No | BUY | $3.0k | 99¢ | Jul 19, 8:06 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $32 | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:42 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:41 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:41 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $18.1k | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:40 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $6 | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:40 PM UTC |
| Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | Yes | BUY | $6 | 32¢ | Jul 19, 6:40 PM UTC |
| Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | Yes | BUY | $1.5k | 20¢ | Jul 18, 8:14 PM UTC |
| Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | Yes | BUY | $16.5k | 20¢ | Jul 18, 8:14 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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