Sharps.money
#27

asparagus2012

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0x476e...396d

Sports PNL
$3.6M
Sports volume
$8.0M
Markets traded
16
Biggest single win
$2.9M
Edge Rating

Edge Rating is not published

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This wallet has no attributed receipts yet.

Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 67 tickets. The source covers Jun 28, 2026 to Jul 15, 2026.

Cache age: 4 hours
3,543 fills fetched

Entry price bands

n=67
Under 30c30% of tickets · 40% of stake
30 to 50c46% of tickets · 35% of stake
50 to 70c24% of tickets · 25% of stake
70c and above0% of tickets · 0% of stake

Sport mix

n=20

This read needs 50 classified tickets, and each named sport needs at least ten.

Favorite versus underdog

n=67

24% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=67
Median ticket
$2.2k
25th to 75th
$107 to $19.4k
Sized up
40%
90th percentile
Needs 100

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 15 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Jun 30, 2026 through Jul 20, 2026 · Complete within this span

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$6657¢Jul 15, 3:38 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$257¢Jul 15, 3:37 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$52857¢Jul 15, 3:35 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$757¢Jul 15, 3:29 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$557¢Jul 15, 3:17 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$757¢Jul 15, 3:15 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$20057¢Jul 15, 3:13 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$757¢Jul 15, 3:08 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$2057¢Jul 15, 3:04 PM UTC
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnderBUY$157¢Jul 15, 3:02 PM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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