Entry price bands
n=127Under 30c32% of tickets · 16% of stake
30 to 50c46% of tickets · 47% of stake
50 to 70c20% of tickets · 31% of stake
70c and above2% of tickets · 5% of stake
#99
VPenguin
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xfbf3...b218
Sports PNL
$1.2M
Sports volume
$55.8M
Markets traded
2,105
Biggest single win
$283.0k
Edge Rating
-1.2%
n=50
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -18.9% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 127 tickets. The source covers Jul 14, 2026 to Sep 26, 2026.
Cache age: 6 hours
1,063 fills fetched
Sport mix
n=62Tennis51 tickets · 28% of stake
UFC10 tickets · 16% of stake
62 classified and 65 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=12722% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=127Median ticket
$975
25th to 75th
$355 to $3.8k
Sized up
38%
90th percentile
$8.2k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jul 15, 2026 through Sep 8, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | Timo Legout | BUY | $841 | 62¢ | Sep 26, 10:14 PM UTC |
| San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | Timo Legout | BUY | $2.9k | 57¢ | Sep 26, 10:08 PM UTC |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | Alex Michelsen | SELL | $245 | 49¢ | Sep 8, 6:39 PM UTC |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | Alex Michelsen | BUY | $885 | 43¢ | Sep 8, 6:37 PM UTC |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | Alex Michelsen | BUY | $7.0k | 38¢ | Sep 8, 6:34 PM UTC |
| Tulln: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg | Max Hans Rehberg | BUY | $4.0k | 58¢ | Sep 8, 4:16 PM UTC |
| Tulln: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg | Max Hans Rehberg | BUY | $5 | 57¢ | Sep 8, 4:15 PM UTC |
| Tulln: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg | Max Hans Rehberg | BUY | $480 | 57¢ | Sep 8, 4:15 PM UTC |
| Tulln: Thiago Monteiro vs Max Hans Rehberg | Max Hans Rehberg | BUY | $323 | 48¢ | Sep 8, 3:34 PM UTC |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | Karen Khachanov | SELL | $112 | 56¢ | Sep 7, 10:34 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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