Entry price bands
n=1737Under 30c30% of tickets · 6% of stake
30 to 50c19% of tickets · 17% of stake
50 to 70c14% of tickets · 34% of stake
70c and above38% of tickets · 42% of stake
#98
UpTheBlues
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x2a69...d2f7
Sports PNL
$1.3M
Sports volume
$242.9M
Markets traded
118,620
Biggest single win
$174.5k
Edge Rating
-0.4%
n=33
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -8.7% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 20, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 1737 tickets. The source covers Sep 20, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026.
Cache age: 3 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=1201Soccer1119 tickets · 75% of stake
Tennis50 tickets · 5% of stake
NFL29 tickets · 1% of stake
1201 classified and 536 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=173751% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=1737Median ticket
$35
25th to 75th
$8 to $182
Sized up
37%
90th percentile
$793
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Sep 20, 2026 through Sep 20, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FK Neftchi Fargona (-1.5) | FK Neftchi Fargona | BUY | $21 | 25¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Will FK Neftchi Fargona win on 2026-09-20? | Yes | BUY | $682 | 47¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20? | Yes | BUY | $3 | 7¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Will Lokomotiv Tashkent win on 2026-09-20? | No | BUY | $99 | 73¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Plovdiv 4: Alexander Weis vs Nikita Mashtakov | Alexander Weis | BUY | $1 | 4¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-09-20? | Yes | BUY | $12 | 26¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | BUY | $31 | 27¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Exact Score: CF Estrela da Amadora 3 - 0 Académico de Viseu FC? | No | BUY | $38 | 96¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5) | Académico de Viseu FC | BUY | $35 | 78¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
| Exact Score: CF Estrela da Amadora 2 - 2 Académico de Viseu FC? | Yes | BUY | $4 | 6¢ | Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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