Entry price bands
n=448Under 30c15% of tickets · 1% of stake
30 to 50c47% of tickets · 44% of stake
50 to 70c31% of tickets · 52% of stake
70c and above7% of tickets · 3% of stake
#74
Talvez10
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xa710...23c4
Sports PNL
$1.5M
Sports volume
$82.3M
Markets traded
1,606
Biggest single win
$291.4k
Edge Rating
-1.4%
n=270
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned +5.1% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 448 tickets. The source covers Sep 3, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.
Cache age: 10 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=448MLB198 tickets · 59% of stake
UFC168 tickets · 18% of stake
NHL68 tickets · 10% of stake
NFL14 tickets · 13% of stake
448 classified and 0 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=44838% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=448Median ticket
$409
25th to 75th
$21 to $10.8k
Sized up
45%
90th percentile
$37.4k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Oct 2, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $2 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:17 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $2 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:17 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $33 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:15 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $4 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:15 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $33 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:12 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $205 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:00 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $12 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 3:00 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $1 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 2:59 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $13 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 2:58 PM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $24 | 45¢ | Oct 12, 2:58 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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