Entry price bands
n=160Under 30c4% of tickets · 4% of stake
30 to 50c43% of tickets · 32% of stake
50 to 70c26% of tickets · 17% of stake
70c and above28% of tickets · 46% of stake
#97
RegardedMoney
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x5c3a...020b
Sports PNL
$1.3M
Sports volume
$68.2M
Markets traded
1,720
Biggest single win
$327.5k
Edge Rating
+0.2%
n=41
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned +5.7% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 160 tickets. The source covers Jul 18, 2026 to Oct 5, 2026.
Cache age: 6 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=69Soccer51 tickets · 35% of stake
69 classified and 91 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=16054% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=160Median ticket
$6.2k
25th to 75th
$837 to $16.8k
Sized up
33%
90th percentile
$40.1k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Aug 30, 2026 through Oct 6, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $2 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 10:57 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $1.7k | 52¢ | Oct 5, 10:53 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $1 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 10:35 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $5 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 10:07 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $3 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:49 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $632 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:45 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $3.0k | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:45 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $4 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:45 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $6.3k | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:45 PM UTC |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | BUY | $54 | 52¢ | Oct 5, 9:45 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
Open live signals