Sharps.money
#90

Cannae

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0x7ea5...de7b

Sports PNL
$1.4M
Sports volume
$136.3M
Markets traded
41,623
Biggest single win
$235.9k
Edge Rating
+0.8%
n=2,321

Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -6.2% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 1702 tickets. The source covers Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.

Cache age: 8 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=1702
Under 30c28% of tickets · 4% of stake
30 to 50c28% of tickets · 21% of stake
50 to 70c26% of tickets · 29% of stake
70c and above19% of tickets · 46% of stake

Sport mix

n=1422
Soccer1409 tickets · 96% of stake
NFL13 tickets · 0% of stake

1422 classified and 280 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=1702

44% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=1702
Median ticket
$20
25th to 75th
$6 to $72
Sized up
36%
90th percentile
$327

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Oct 12, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-10-12?YesBUY$523¢Oct 12, 4:54 PM UTC
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-10-12?YesBUY$721¢Oct 12, 4:48 PM UTC
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-10-12?NoBUY$150¢Oct 12, 4:42 PM UTC
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5UnderBUY$230¢Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5UnderBUY$1030¢Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5UnderBUY$1430¢Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-10-12?NoBUY$1050¢Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Will Smouha SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC end in a draw?YesBUY$738¢Oct 12, 4:41 PM UTC
Will Smouha SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC end in a draw?NoBUY$2262¢Oct 12, 4:40 PM UTC
Will Smouha SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC end in a draw?NoBUY$462¢Oct 12, 4:40 PM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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