Sharps.money
#83

Cannae

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0x7ea5...de7b

Sports PNL
$1.4M
Sports volume
$125.1M
Markets traded
35,697
Biggest single win
$447.2k
Edge Rating
+0.9%
n=965

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -5.9% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Aug 28, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 1613 tickets. The source covers Aug 23, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026.

Cache age: 1 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=1613
Under 30c24% of tickets · 12% of stake
30 to 50c27% of tickets · 20% of stake
50 to 70c24% of tickets · 29% of stake
70c and above24% of tickets · 39% of stake

Sport mix

n=1549
Soccer1545 tickets · 99% of stake

1549 classified and 64 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=1613

48% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=1613
Median ticket
$26
25th to 75th
$7 to $96
Sized up
35%
90th percentile
$366

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Aug 27, 2026 through Aug 28, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$020¢Aug 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$520¢Aug 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$16952¢Aug 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$27552¢Aug 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$120¢Aug 28, 3:30 PM UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?NoBUY$4120¢Aug 28, 3:29 PM UTC
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5UnderBUY$1644¢Aug 28, 3:27 PM UTC
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5UnderBUY$2444¢Aug 28, 3:27 PM UTC
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5UnderBUY$744¢Aug 28, 3:27 PM UTC
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5UnderBUY$2345¢Aug 28, 3:27 PM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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