Entry price bands
n=833Under 30c33% of tickets · 9% of stake
30 to 50c22% of tickets · 29% of stake
50 to 70c20% of tickets · 29% of stake
70c and above25% of tickets · 33% of stake
#48
CandleHammerDrums
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x7c1e...bab3
Sports PNL
$2.2M
Sports volume
$55.9M
Markets traded
13,152
Biggest single win
$371.4k
Edge Rating
+1.6%
n=620
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -11.1% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 833 tickets. The source covers Oct 9, 2026 to Oct 12, 2026.
Cache age: 15 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=808Tennis691 tickets · 98% of stake
Soccer108 tickets · 0% of stake
808 classified and 25 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=83345% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=833Median ticket
$106
25th to 75th
$19 to $748
Sized up
42%
90th percentile
$3.6k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $28 | 11¢ | Oct 12, 3:10 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $0 | 7¢ | Oct 12, 3:09 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $10 | 9¢ | Oct 12, 3:04 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $11 | 10¢ | Oct 12, 3:04 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $1.6k | 78¢ | Oct 12, 2:46 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | $1.6k | 79¢ | Oct 12, 2:46 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $360 | 18¢ | Oct 12, 2:45 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $380 | 19¢ | Oct 12, 2:45 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $440 | 22¢ | Oct 12, 2:40 AM UTC |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $1 | 22¢ | Oct 12, 2:34 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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