Sharps.money
#13

BreakTheBank

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0xf031...c80c

Sports PNL
$5.6M
Sports volume
$278.4M
Markets traded
1,039
Biggest single win
$1.4M
Edge Rating
-2.0%
n=269

Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -13.7% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Oct 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 330 tickets. The source covers Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 13, 2026.

Cache age: under one hour
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=330
Under 30c58% of tickets · 8% of stake
30 to 50c14% of tickets · 42% of stake
50 to 70c19% of tickets · 42% of stake
70c and above10% of tickets · 9% of stake

Sport mix

n=279
Politics164 tickets · 4% of stake
NFL93 tickets · 76% of stake
Soccer22 tickets · 17% of stake

279 classified and 51 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=330

29% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=330
Median ticket
$108
25th to 75th
$8 to $3.7k
Sized up
45%
90th percentile
$41.7k

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Oct 2, 2026 through Oct 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$937¢Oct 13, 12:59 AM UTC
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm electNoBUY$2259¢Oct 13, 12:59 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$61.9k45¢Oct 13, 12:56 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$2.9k44¢Oct 13, 12:55 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$1642¢Oct 13, 12:54 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$342¢Oct 13, 12:54 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$13542¢Oct 13, 12:54 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$1442¢Oct 13, 12:53 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$4242¢Oct 13, 12:53 AM UTC
Bills vs. RamsBillsBUY$19242¢Oct 13, 12:53 AM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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