Entry price bands
n=728Under 30c16% of tickets · 3% of stake
30 to 50c34% of tickets · 10% of stake
50 to 70c24% of tickets · 29% of stake
70c and above25% of tickets · 58% of stake
#35
ndb1
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xfea3...d227
Sports PNL
$2.7M
Sports volume
$98.8M
Markets traded
2,205
Biggest single win
$755.2k
Edge Rating
+0.4%
n=48
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -0.7% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 12, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 728 tickets. The source covers Jul 10, 2026 to Sep 12, 2026.
Cache age: under one hour
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=516NFL305 tickets · 1% of stake
MLB70 tickets · 2% of stake
Soccer59 tickets · 25% of stake
Tennis54 tickets · 1% of stake
Crypto12 tickets · 1% of stake
516 classified and 212 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=72849% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=728Median ticket
$30
25th to 75th
$9 to $237
Sized up
40%
90th percentile
$2.9k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Sep 2, 2026 through Sep 12, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | New York Yankees | SELL | $1 | 44¢ | Sep 12, 7:23 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $15 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:58 AM UTC |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regul | Yes | SELL | $10 | 48¢ | Sep 12, 6:56 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $21 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:55 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $16 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:55 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $1 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:54 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $8 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:44 AM UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $461 | 39¢ | Sep 12, 6:43 AM UTC |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score | No | BUY | $11 | 43¢ | Sep 12, 6:12 AM UTC |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | Yes | SELL | $6 | 23¢ | Sep 12, 6:07 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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