Entry price bands
n=2347Under 30c16% of tickets · 7% of stake
30 to 50c27% of tickets · 22% of stake
50 to 70c31% of tickets · 36% of stake
70c and above27% of tickets · 34% of stake
#99
justaluckydude
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0xbca0...9705
Sports PNL
$1.2M
Sports volume
$38.1M
Markets traded
17,528
Biggest single win
$63.6k
Edge Rating
+3.7%
n=2,932
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -0.3% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 23, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 2347 tickets. The source covers Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 23, 2026.
Cache age: under one hour
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=2334MLB1586 tickets · 74% of stake
NFL711 tickets · 25% of stake
Soccer33 tickets · 0% of stake
2334 classified and 13 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=234758% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=2347Median ticket
$48
25th to 75th
$15 to $274
Sized up
38%
90th percentile
$1.1k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Sep 23, 2026 through Sep 23, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers | Washington Nationals | BUY | $5.0k | 38¢ | Sep 23, 3:14 PM UTC |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Athletics | BUY | $5 | 93¢ | Sep 23, 4:57 AM UTC |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Athletics | BUY | $17 | 79¢ | Sep 23, 4:56 AM UTC |
| Spread: Athletics (-2.5) | Athletics | BUY | $42 | 77¢ | Sep 23, 4:50 AM UTC |
| Spread: Athletics (-2.5) | Los Angeles Angels | BUY | $27 | 35¢ | Sep 23, 4:48 AM UTC |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Los Angeles Angels | BUY | $2 | 20¢ | Sep 23, 4:48 AM UTC |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5) | Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | $596 | 78¢ | Sep 23, 4:47 AM UTC |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | Under | BUY | $41 | 84¢ | Sep 23, 4:43 AM UTC |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | Under | BUY | $22 | 92¢ | Sep 23, 4:43 AM UTC |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 | Under | BUY | $21 | 85¢ | Sep 23, 4:42 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
Open the live signal feed