Entry price bands
n=154Under 30c13% of tickets · 1% of stake
30 to 50c48% of tickets · 47% of stake
50 to 70c36% of tickets · 41% of stake
70c and above3% of tickets · 11% of stake
#98
Kch-Temp
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x9243...658e
Sports PNL
$1.2M
Sports volume
$27.6M
Markets traded
245
Biggest single win
$367.6k
Edge Rating
Edge Rating is not published
n=6
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -1.9% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating needs at least 30 valid resolved results. This wallet has n=6.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 13, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 154 tickets. The source covers Jul 9, 2026 to Sep 12, 2026.
Cache age: 2 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=143NFL83 tickets · 24% of stake
Tennis24 tickets · 3% of stake
Soccer19 tickets · 26% of stake
Motorsport17 tickets · 1% of stake
143 classified and 11 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=15439% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=154Median ticket
$469
25th to 75th
$35 to $7.6k
Sized up
41%
90th percentile
$26.9k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jul 3, 2026 through Sep 13, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 7:05 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:58 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:52 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:47 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:41 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $39 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:37 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:36 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:30 PM UTC |
| Duke vs. Illinois | Illinois | BUY | $11.1k | 68¢ | Sep 12, 6:30 PM UTC |
| Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | UCF | BUY | $76 | 53¢ | Sep 12, 6:25 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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