Entry price bands
n=272Under 30c4% of tickets · 6% of stake
30 to 50c46% of tickets · 46% of stake
50 to 70c46% of tickets · 46% of stake
70c and above4% of tickets · 2% of stake
#68
Soarin22
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x84db...aeeb
Sports PNL
$1.6M
Sports volume
$81.8M
Markets traded
2,027
Biggest single win
$226.9k
Edge Rating
+0.8%
n=40
Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -3.2% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 17, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 272 tickets. The source covers Jul 10, 2026 to Sep 16, 2026.
Cache age: 4 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=245MLB208 tickets · 59% of stake
NFL37 tickets · 10% of stake
245 classified and 27 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=27250% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=272Median ticket
$1.9k
25th to 75th
$278 to $7.0k
Sized up
36%
90th percentile
$23.5k
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Jul 29, 2026 through Sep 15, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $98 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 9:29 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $0 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 8:45 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $40 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 8:41 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $1.1k | 32¢ | Sep 16, 8:40 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $16 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 8:40 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $14 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 8:14 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $2 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 7:57 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $13 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 7:29 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $24 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 7:08 PM UTC |
| Lions vs. Bills | Lions | BUY | $0 | 32¢ | Sep 16, 6:21 PM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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