Sharps.money
#80

Cannae

Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.

0x7ea5...de7b

Sports PNL
$1.4M
Sports volume
$128.7M
Markets traded
37,839
Biggest single win
$447.2k
Edge Rating
+1.3%
n=1,643

Edge Rating rewards edge after entry price. Equal-stake copying lost money, so size the risk to the price.

This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -6.0% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.

Edge Rating was computed on Sep 10, 2026.
Behavioral profile

How this wallet enters

The math consolidates fills into 1500 tickets. The source covers Sep 6, 2026 to Sep 10, 2026.

Cache age: 4 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills

Entry price bands

n=1500
Under 30c23% of tickets · 8% of stake
30 to 50c30% of tickets · 32% of stake
50 to 70c25% of tickets · 21% of stake
70c and above23% of tickets · 39% of stake

Sport mix

n=1268
Soccer1260 tickets · 94% of stake

1268 classified and 232 left as Other.

Favorite versus underdog

n=1500

47% favored contracts

The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.

Ticket sizing

n=1500
Median ticket
$30
25th to 75th
$8 to $132
Sized up
36%
90th percentile
$613

Weekly realized PNL

Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.

Coverage: Sep 9, 2026 through Sep 10, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit

Recent fills

These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.

Full history on Polymarket
MarketOutcomeSideFill notionalPriceFilled at
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SKBUY$1375¢Sep 10, 7:59 AM UTC
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?NoBUY$254¢Sep 10, 7:55 AM UTC
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5UnderBUY$313¢Sep 10, 7:55 AM UTC
Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5UnderBUY$314¢Sep 10, 7:54 AM UTC
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-10?NoBUY$321¢Sep 10, 7:54 AM UTC
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?NoBUY$777¢Sep 10, 7:51 AM UTC
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?NoBUY$977¢Sep 10, 7:51 AM UTC
Will Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?YesBUY$12Sep 10, 7:44 AM UTC
Will Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?YesBUY$4Sep 10, 7:43 AM UTC
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?NoBUY$311¢Sep 10, 7:40 AM UTC

Expected value

EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.

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