Entry price bands
n=903Under 30c28% of tickets · 7% of stake
30 to 50c27% of tickets · 18% of stake
50 to 70c22% of tickets · 34% of stake
70c and above22% of tickets · 41% of stake
#49
CandleHammerDrums
Reported Polymarket sports figures from the ALL board.
0x7c1e...bab3
Sports PNL
$2.2M
Sports volume
$46.5M
Markets traded
11,180
Biggest single win
$371.4k
Edge Rating
+1.6%
n=592
Edge Rating scores a wallet after entry price, using the same price-sized stake as the performance study. A positive score is not a bet to place.
This rating accounts for entry price. Equal $100 stakes returned -10.8% ROI in this wallet's resolved sample.
Edge Rating was computed on Sep 27, 2026.
Behavioral profile
How this wallet enters
The math consolidates fills into 903 tickets. The source covers Sep 25, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026.
Cache age: 4 hours
Truncated at 5,000 fills
Sport mix
n=903Crypto607 tickets · 2% of stake
Tennis196 tickets · 79% of stake
MLB100 tickets · 19% of stake
903 classified and 0 left as Other.
Favorite versus underdog
n=90344% favored contracts
The split uses entry price. Contracts at 50 cents or higher count as favored outcomes.
Ticket sizing
n=903Median ticket
$12
25th to 75th
$6 to $53
Sized up
34%
90th percentile
$722
Weekly realized PNL
Polymarket closed positions inside the scheduled 90-day profile window. The chart shows 50 positions and never fills missing weeks with zero.
Coverage: Sep 27, 2026 through Sep 27, 2026 · Truncated at the 50-position API limit
Recent fills
These are the latest ten Polymarket fills, not ten distinct tickets.
| Market | Outcome | Side | Fill notional | Price | Filled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | BUY | $10 | 95¢ | Sep 27, 8:29 AM UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Up | BUY | $5 | 53¢ | Sep 27, 8:28 AM UTC |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | BUY | $756 | 84¢ | Sep 27, 8:16 AM UTC |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Hugo Gaston | BUY | $19 | 14¢ | Sep 27, 8:15 AM UTC |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | BUY | $128 | 85¢ | Sep 27, 8:08 AM UTC |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | BUY | $328 | 81¢ | Sep 27, 8:07 AM UTC |
| Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev | Hugo Gaston | BUY | $4 | 14¢ | Sep 27, 8:06 AM UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Up | BUY | $7 | 73¢ | Sep 27, 7:48 AM UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | BUY | $2 | 14¢ | Sep 27, 7:40 AM UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | BUY | $7 | 68¢ | Sep 27, 7:40 AM UTC |
Expected value
EV stays hidden until this wallet has at least 100 attributed, resolved receipts. This deploy does not substitute a 50 percent win rate.
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