Sports leaderboard snapshot · #24
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Summed from Polymarket closed positions by week (UTC). Hover a point for exact realized PNL for that week.
Inferred from trade activity (titles & slugs). Percent of total trade notional.
| Market | Outcome | Price | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $4k | 2¢ | Jun 11, 2026, 7:14 PM | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $10 | 2¢ | Jun 9, 2026, 8:53 AM | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $30 | 2¢ | Jun 9, 2026, 8:44 AM | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $168 | 2¢ | Jun 9, 2026, 8:43 AM | |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $70 | 0¢ | Jun 8, 2026, 11:03 AM | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $61 | 10¢ | Jun 5, 2026, 10:40 PM | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $25 | 10¢ | Jun 5, 2026, 10:35 PM | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $12 | 10¢ | Jun 5, 2026, 10:34 PM | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $211 | 10¢ | Jun 5, 2026, 10:33 PM | |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | SELL | $2 | 10¢ | Jun 5, 2026, 10:30 PM |
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Modeled like the simulator: payout = bet ÷ price, profit = payout − bet, EV = win rate × profit − (1 − win rate) × bet. Price uses recent trade average when available.